TOP SECRET – SIGINT UK/US EYES ONLY
2nd July 2024
Memorandum for: US President & UK Prime Minister
From:SIGINT Special Climate Assessment Group
Subject: STRATEGIC APPROACHES TO UN CLIMATE SUMMIT, 20th November 2024
- On 20th November the UN General Assembly will meet to discuss the four degrees Celsius breach. Any resolution demanding a significant reduction in carbon dioxide emissions will be unacceptably damaging to the energy industry. However a US veto in the current political climate is unacceptable. Any strategy should therefore be focused on alternative solutions.
- Having explored multiple scenarios, an actionable lead has been identified as Solar Radiation Management by way of a programme of sulphur dioxide release. This would have quick results, buy time for the US energy industry to adapt, and can be framed as a ‘silver bullet’; a generous solution with other beneficial effects. Ambassador McGill’s speech could be used as a platform to shift the policy consensus in this direction. The US/UK can spearhead a new and bold strategy with clear, measurable results within months.
- This cost of a sulphur dioxide balloon release programme has been estimated at $20 billion initial investment, followed by $1 billion per year. A consortium of industry leaders has put together a financing package and initial launch could be as early as next year, with significant results within months.
- In 2013 a then-doctoral candidate in geoengineering named Professor Hari Dash wrote a paper entitled ‘Mount Pinatubo as a Prototype for Solar Radiation Management’ which sets out a basic strategy. He has been identified as a suitable figurehead for this scheme and is likely to cooperate with the offer of a prestigious directorship and high salary. He has taken money from energy companies in the past to fund his research, and a dossier of compromising material has been collated, to be used if necessary.
- An accompanying media and social media campaign should engage strong language and sense of urgency to harness the public mood, and make SRM part of public consciousness. It should be stressed that the risks of not deploying SRM are clearly higher than going ahead. US rhetoric should now switch to emphasising the urgency. Sensationalist and pejorative language can now work to our advantage.
- Two simultaneous covert operations are proposed.
- Operation Mantilla: Professor Hari Dash has since written a considerable body of research that would be considered contradictory to the benefits of SRM. This should be removed from circulation and from search engines. Simultaneously, traces of the phrase Termination Shock should also be removed (see footnote on Termination Shock) from the internet. The phrase is already known to the public but should be cauterized from general awareness.
- Project Shiny Object (THIS SECTION REDACTED)
- Blowback risks – while difficult to predict, the economic effects on US/UK/strategic allies are almost universally positive. The operationally soft countries should be approached with economic incentives before the summit, to mitigate against transboundary impacts. In the event of catastrophic weather events or Termination Shock, there will be plausible deniability with Hari Dash as a potential scapegoat.